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Materias / palabras clave: Prospect theory; Cumulative prospect theory; Expected utility hypothesis; Risk aversion (psychology); Mathematical economics; Foundation (evidence); Weighting; Economics; Loss aversion; Ambiguity aversion; Axiom; Decisio...

How should firms decide whether and when to invest in new capital equipment, additions to their workforce, or the development of new products? Why have traditional economic models of investment failed to explain the beha...

This article described three heuristics that are employed in making judgments under uncertainty: (i) representativeness, which is usually employed when people are asked to judge the probability that an object or event A ...

Abstract We develop a new index of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) based on newspaper coverage frequency. Several types of evidence—including human readings of 12,000 newspaper articles—indicate that our index prox...

Materias / palabras clave: Investment (military); Economics; Econometrics; Environmental science; Business; Political science; Law; Politics

Materias / palabras clave: Computer science; Interpretation (philosophy); Sample (material); Range (aeronautics); Statement (logic); Uncertainty analysis; Propagation of uncertainty; Data mining; Data science; Experimental data; Econometrics; Indu...

This paper uses an intertemporal general equilibrium asset pricing model to study the term structure of interest rates. In this model, anticipations, risk aversion, investment alternatives, and preferences about the timi...

Previous article Next article An Algorithm for Least-Squares Estimation of Nonlinear ParametersDonald W. MarquardtDonald W. Marquardthttps://doi.org/10.1137/0111030PDFPDF PLUSBibTexSections ToolsAdd to favoritesExport Ci...

Abstract In a 1935 paper and in his book Theory of Probability, Jeffreys developed a methodology for quantifying the evidence in favor of a scientific theory. The centerpiece was a number, now called the Bayes factor, wh...

One of the problems which has plagued those attempting to predict the behavior of capital markets is the absence of a body of positive microeconomic theory dealing with conditions of risk. Although many useful insights c...

BACKGROUND: Rigorous analysis of levels and trends in exposure to leading risk factors and quantification of their effect on human health are important to identify where public health is making progress and in which case...

BACKGROUND: Global development goals increasingly rely on country-specific estimates for benchmarking a nation's progress. To meet this need, the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2016 est...

This paper answers the question, “Why do organizations process information?” Uncertainty and equivocality are defined as two forces that influence information processing in organizations. Organization structure and i...

Abstract Within the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), ECMWF is producing the ERA5 reanalysis which, once completed, will embody a detailed record of the global atmosphere, land surface and ocean waves from 1950 on...

Instead of examining why organizations are dissimilar, this study explores why organizations tend to be increasingly and inevitably homogenous in their forms and practices. Organizations in a similar line of work are str...

We developed interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas (excluding Antarctica) at a spatial resolution of 30 arc s (often referred to as 1-km spatial resolution). The climate elements considered were monthly pre...