Model used to determine the daily average demand of electric energy in Argentina - A state space approach

Artículo

Model used to determine the daily average demand of electric energy in Argentina - A state space approach

Abril, Juan Carlos et al · Pakistan Journal of Statistics · 2003

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Autore / responsabile

Abril, Juan Carlos et al

Editore

Pakistan Journal of Statistics

Anno

2003

ISSN

1012-9367

ISSN

1012-9367

Lingua

Inglés

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This work shows the usefulness of state-space models to adjust and forecast daily time series, and the technique of periodic cubic spline regression to model annual seasonality. A structural model is used to analyzed the series of daily average demand of electricity in Argentina. This model considers the trend, the weekly and annual seasonal component, the effect of public holidays, two cycles, and the temperature as explanatory variable. The method gave satisfactory results, both at the adjustment level as well as in the forecasting and interpretability of its components. Alternative methods are recommended when the future temperature values are unknown. Fil: Abril, Juan Carlos. Universidad Nacional de Tucumán. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas. Instituto de Investigaciones Estadísticas; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Tucumán; Argentina Fil: Blacona, Maria Teresa. Universidad Nacional de Rosario; Argentina

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APA 7

Abril, J. C. E. A. (2003). Model used to determine the daily average demand of electric energy in Argentina - A state space approach. http://hdl.handle.net/11336/111117

MLA

Abril, Juan Carlos et al. "Model used to determine the daily average demand of electric energy in Argentina - A state space approach." 2003. http://hdl.handle.net/11336/111117.

Chicago

Abril, Juan Carlos et al. 2003. "Model used to determine the daily average demand of electric energy in Argentina - A state space approach.". http://hdl.handle.net/11336/111117.

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Abril, J. C. E. A. 2003, Model used to determine the daily average demand of electric energy in Argentina - A state space approach, Pakistan Journal of Statistics, available at: http://hdl.handle.net/11336/111117 [Accessed 5 Aug. 2026].

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Titolo: Model used to determine the daily average demand of electric energy in Argentina - A state space approach

Autore / collaboratori: Abril, Juan Carlos et al

Editore: Pakistan Journal of Statistics

Anno di pubblicazione: 2003

ISSN: 1012-9367

ISSN: 1012-9367

Lingua: Inglés

Soggetti

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DAILY TIME SERIES; ELECTRICITY DEMAND; KALMAN FILTERING; PERIODIC CIBIC SPLINE; STATE SPACE; STRUCTURAL MODEL; https://purl.org/becyt/ford/5.2; https://purl.org/becyt/ford/5