Deriving task specific performance from the information processing capacity of a reservoir computer

In the reservoir computing literature, the information processing capacity is frequently used to characterize the computing capabilities of a reservoir. However, it remains unclear how the information processing capacity connects to the performance on specific tasks. We demonstrate on a set of standard benchmark tasks that the total information processing capacity correlates poorly with task specific performance. Further, we derive an expression for the normalized mean square error of a task as a weighted function of the individual information processing capacities. Mathematically, the derivation requires the task to have the same input distribution as used to calculate the information processing capacities. We test our method on a range of tasks that violate this requirement and find good qualitative agreement between the predicted and the actual errors as long as the task input sequences do not have long autocorrelation times. Our method offers deeper insight into the principles governing reservoir computing performance. It also increases the utility of the evaluation of information processing capacities, which are typically defined on i.i.d. input, even if specific tasks deliver inputs stemming from different distributions. Moreover, it offers the possibility of reducing the experimental cost of optimizing physical reservoirs, such as those implemented in photonic systems.