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An analytics approach to the FIFA ranking procedure and the World Cup final draw

Cea, Sebastián et al · Springer · 2019

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This paper analyzes the procedure used by FIFA up until 2018 to rank national football teams and define by random draw the groups for the initial phase of the World Cup finals. A predictive model is calibrated to form a reference ranking to evaluate the performance of a series of simple changes to that procedure. These proposed modifications are guided by a qualitative and statistical analysis of the FIFA ranking. We then analyze the use of this ranking to determine the groups for the World Cup finals. After enumerating a series of deficiencies in the group assignments for the 2014 World Cup, a mixed integer linear programming model is developed and used to balance the difficulty levels of the groups. Fil: Cea, Sebastián. Universidad de Chile; Chile Fil: Duran, Guillermo Alfredo. Universidad de Chile; Chile. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Instituto de Calculo. - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Instituto de Calculo; Argentina

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APA 7

Cea, S. E. A. (2019). An analytics approach to the FIFA ranking procedure and the World Cup final draw. http://hdl.handle.net/11336/121034

MLA

Cea, Sebastián et al. "An analytics approach to the FIFA ranking procedure and the World Cup final draw." 2019. http://hdl.handle.net/11336/121034.

Chicago

Cea, Sebastián et al. 2019. "An analytics approach to the FIFA ranking procedure and the World Cup final draw.". http://hdl.handle.net/11336/121034.

Harvard

Cea, S. E. A. 2019, An analytics approach to the FIFA ranking procedure and the World Cup final draw, Springer, available at: http://hdl.handle.net/11336/121034 [Accessed 7 Aug. 2026].

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Title
An analytics approach to the FIFA ranking procedure and the World Cup final draw
Author / contributors
Cea, Sebastián et al
Publisher
Springer
Publication year
2019
ISSN
0254-5330
ISSN
0254-5330
Language
English

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