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Landfalling tropical cyclones significantly reduce Bangladesh's energy security

K. M. R. Hunt et al · Copernicus Publications · 2026

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<p>Bangladesh's rapidly expanding electricity grid is highly vulnerable to tropical cyclones, yet operational impacts remain poorly quantified. In this paper, we investigate the impact of landfalling tropical cyclones and depressions on Bangladesh's energy security by combining daily reported demand met (across 9 power-planning zones; December 2015 to May 2025) with cyclone track data and hazard proxies from reanalysis and satellite products. We use an event-centered composite approach for 14 named landfalling cyclones and 13 landfalling depressions, defining deficits in demand met as a percentage anomaly relative to a 60 <span class="inline-formula">d</span> running mean. On cyclone landfall days, national demand met falls by an average of 19.8 %, with the maximum recorded national deficit (69 %) occurring during Cyclone Remal (28 May 2024). Coastal zones are disproportionately affected, with mean day 0 zone deficits of up to 38 % and some events exceeding 90 %. Depressions are associated with smaller, but still significant, deficits, averaging 8.3 %. For named cyclones, the magnitude of the national deficit is strongly correlated with the worst-affected zone deficit (<span class="inline-formula"><i>r</i>=0.80</span>, <span class="inline-formula"><i>p</i>&lt;0.001</span>), indicating that national-scale shortfalls are dominated by near-collapse in at least one zone. Cross-border analysis with West Bengal shows that the largest cyclone-related deficits are often synchronised across both regions, limiting the reliability of imported electricity during major stress events. We propose potential mitigation and adaptation policies, such as targeted hardening of coastal network assets and decentralised backup supply for critical services as cyclone-related hazards continue to intensify under climate change.</p>

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APA 7

al, K. M. R. H. E. (2026). Landfalling tropical cyclones significantly reduce Bangladesh's energy security. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1997-2026

MLA

al, K. M. R. Hunt et. "Landfalling tropical cyclones significantly reduce Bangladesh's energy security." 2026. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1997-2026.

Chicago

al, K. M. R. Hunt et. 2026. "Landfalling tropical cyclones significantly reduce Bangladesh's energy security.". https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1997-2026.

Harvard

al, K. M. R. H. E. 2026, Landfalling tropical cyclones significantly reduce Bangladesh's energy security, Copernicus Publications, available at: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1997-2026 [Accessed 9 Aug. 2026].

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Title
Landfalling tropical cyclones significantly reduce Bangladesh's energy security
Author / contributors
K. M. R. Hunt et al
Publisher
Copernicus Publications
Publication year
2026
ISSN
1561-8633
ISSN
1561-8633
Language
English
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